Of the following factors, which is the most important for predicting the outcome of Congressional elections?
  1. Whether or not there are hot button issues on the table during the campaign
  2. The amount of money spent by the candidate
  3. Whether or not the candidate is an incumbent
  4. Size of the voter turnout
Explanation
Answer: C - Of these factors the most important for predicting the outcome of Congressional elections is whether or not the candidate is an incumbent. In politics, the incumbent is the existing holder of a political office. This term is usually used in reference to elections, in which races can often be defined as being between an incumbent and non-incumbent. Incumbency has oftentimes proven to be extremely advantageous in Congressional elections. Major connections to political action committees, relationships with key players, and other built-in advantages are very difficult for political opponents to overcome.
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